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Written by Richard Evans
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Wednesday, 04 June 2008 |
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...Canada's auto worker's union learns that it doesn't own the company, that jobs for life aren't guaranteed and that maybe they shouldn't have jumped on the Kyoto bandwagon.
Enter the law of unintended consequences:
from the CAW site :
By Jim Stanford (CAW Economist)
Canadian business leaders are sounding more like anti-globalization protesters every day.
They're overflowing with angst about an international treaty that they
say will erode Canadian sovereignty and destroy our economy. Stolid old
free-trader Perrin Beatty, now head of the Canadian Manufacturers and
Exporters, is railing on about the power of global bureaucrats and
threats to Canadian jobs. Next he'll be throwing stink bombs over the
security fence at meetings of environment ministers. Meanwhile the
environmental community is trying to adopt the air of assured and
capable technocrats. The Kyoto Protocol is a modest, logical, careful
first step, they keep repeating. It's quite the role-reversal.
[...]
Most of the models don't include the positive spin-off impacts of new
environmental spending on purchasing power in the broader economy. If
Kyoto commitments lead Canadian companies, consumers, and governments
to spend billions of dollars on cleaner technologies, public transit
systems, methane collectors at landfill sites, and more efficient
vehicles, this will create swads of new jobs. There's no reason why
big-ticket investments in environmental infrastructure and technology
couldn't power a lasting economic expansion--just like waves of
investment in railways (1850s), automotive infrastructure (1950s), and
computers (1990s) did. Forecasts that consider these demand-side
effects (like a study by Dale Marshall of the Canadian Centre for
Policy Alternatives, ""Making Kyoto Work,"") come to very different,
and more optimistic, conclusions regarding Kyoto's economic impacts.
[...]
Responding to the unwelcome effects of climate change could be
clearly beneficial for the economy--despite the plaintive wails of
those who are required to do the spending. In this sense, the chances
of ratifying Kyoto (as a first step toward a greener economy) will be
better if we can describe it as requiring more work to be done in our
economy, not less.
The success of some previous attempts to link environmental and
labour goals--like the Toronto Atmospheric Fund, which subsidizes
energy-saving insulation retrofits, and supports thousands of
construction jobs--shows that workers will jump on the green bandwagon
if they believe it will create jobs.
This same approach should apply to implementing Kyoto. For example,
not all environmentalists are thrilled with them, but hybrid vehicles
seem to hold considerable potential for reducing greenhouse emissions,
while respecting North Americans' apparently god-given right to drive.
A hybrid vehicle contains two engines: a conventional gasoline engine
for high-efficiency cruising, and an electric engine (charged by the
movement of the vehicle itself) to help with starts, stops, and hills.
From this morning's news reports :
Automaking is the country's largest export industry. And it is
arguably under siege like never before. When GM lays off 2,600 workers
in Oshawa next year, it will also wipe out an estimated three times
that many jobs at companies that supply the plant, such as Lear Corp.
in Ajax.
"This is a big deal. But get used to it. We're only in
the first inning," said Jeff Rubin, chief economist for the Canadian
Imperial Bank of Commerce. "The kind of vehicles that are going to be
on the road are not the kind of vehicles that right now GM and Ford are
producing. We're going to be talking about hybrid vehicles, small
vehicles … In the oil shocks of 1973 and 1979, the Japanese
[automakers] came to the fore. And once again they are. I think Toyota
and Honda will become the mainstays of our industry. And what's left of
Ford and GM will be re-engineered to produce very different vehicles
than they're producing now."
That re-engineering has already
begun. GM is boosting production of any car that is scoring with
buyers, like its Malibu and G6. It said yesterday its board of
directors has given the go-ahead to spend money to build the Volt
extended-range electric car. The centrepiece of GM's strategy to make
vehicles that run on gas alternatives is to be in showrooms by the end
of 2010.
What's that old saying about reaping what you sow?
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Last Updated ( Wednesday, 04 June 2008 )
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